Make noise: write articles, publish in newspapers, and speak to the media.
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I think the main question is whether all these changes give people the comfort to continue chasing the GV route. Without “legislative stability”, it is becoming difficult to trust the system.
What if after months or years they changed the law again, by increasing the time to obtain citizenship or changing the residency requirements or even cancelling the option to get citizenship.
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they change the rules frequently, i expect things will keep getting worse
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This is the true risk to me. They have pulled back the veneer of stability.
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An equally accurate way to look at recent political events is the instability is a blip.
Here’s a little mental game: how much of the ALA/PSD behavior do you think PT voters will put up with before going for a different party? How much do you think the EU will tolerate before they start having “conversations” with stakeholders?
In the tech/corporate world we used to call it “shaking the tree”. A new management team would roll into your division and start making alarming, high-stakes manoevers. The goal was always to scare people with a demonstration of power, shake loose anyone and everyone who was not 100% committed so they could reduce costs. Get rid of some people and bully those remaining into submission. Many of us had everything to lose: food, shelter, their families’ survival. Employees had no leverage.
Regardless of the decision whether to ride out the GV turbulence, do yourself a favor: find a good course in negotiation. Think about alternatives, what’s really on the line here, what riding it out would cost you. You may well decide to opt out of this situation, but there will be others like it down the road of life.
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A very common purge playbook in politics.
Assuming the parliament still intends to modify the nationality law, what is the most likely timeline for the revised law to be approved and go into effect? Is it safe to assume that it will only be discussed after the presidential election or not necessarily? My understanding is that this election will most likely go to a second round, which is scheduled for February 8
theyve changed the ari rules multiple times since 2020, the instability isnt “recent”
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Good point.
There’s change, like raising the minimum RE threshold from 280 to 350k. Then, separately, eliminating the RE option. Incremental change, evolving the legal framework in an orderly way. Providing a transition path for those already in process.
Then there’s instability, which in my view is slightly different. Lots of change and uncertainty all at once, not honoring commitments, leading to an erosion of trust. No transition path, no legal framework, just abuse of power. Often for purely self-seeking political reasons.
Agree that humans tend to have difficulty with both change and instability. Change can be navigated. Instability requires a custom toolkit and negotiation techniques along with the fortitude to stand up to someone who wants to treat you like a pawn in their game.
Good luck negotiating with the PT government!
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