Risks of the Mercan Project (Lagos by Marriot) – What Does This Mean for Investors and Golden Visa Holders?

Hi everyone,

I’d like to discuss a challenging situation surrounding the Lagos by Marriotproject, which is being developed by MERCAN PROPERTY LAGOS LDA in Portugal. The project was initially scheduled to be completed in the second quarter of 2023, but as of March 2025, construction remains unfinished.

Recently, there have been reports that the construction license for the project may have been revoked by the municipal authorities in Lagos. MERCAN claims that the license remains valid due to ongoing negotiations with the municipality, but there’s no official confirmation yet.

And this is where the real risks for investors and golden visa holders begin:

  1. Inability to complete the project without a license

If the license is indeed revoked, the project will become legally invalid, making it practically impossible to complete construction without obtaining a new license.

• If the municipality refuses to reissue the license — the project could remain frozen indefinitely.

• Even if a new license is issued, it could come with different terms or additional costs.

  1. Risks to golden visa status

If the project is never completed, this could jeopardize the ability to:

• Maintain golden visa status.

• Successfully renew the residence permit in the future.

• Secure permanent residency or citizenship under the ARI program.

From what I understand, the fact that the investment was made under the ARI program is only recognized if the project itself remains legally valid. If the property becomes legally compromised due to the revoked license — SEF could potentially initiate a review or even cancellation of the golden visa.

  1. What happens if the funds are already spent?

If the license is revoked and MERCAN lacks the funds to complete the project — what would be the realistic strategy for investors to recover their money?

• In theory, there’s a right to request a buyback (€280,000), but if MERCAN lacks the liquidity — how would that be enforced?

• If MERCAN declares bankruptcy, the project will be included in the insolvency estate — but will there be enough value in the assets to compensate investors?

• If a new developer takes over — would investors be offered the same terms, or would it be a completely new deal under different (and possibly less favorable) conditions?

  1. Is it possible to transfer the investment to another project?

The question of transferring the investment to another project under the ARI program remains unclear.

• SEF generally allows transfers only if the loss of the original project is not the investor’s fault.

• If MERCAN officially confirms that the project can no longer be completed due to licensing issues — would SEF allow the funds to be transferred to another project, even if the money has already been spent on construction?

• If SEF denies the transfer request — would there be grounds to challenge that decision in court?

This creates a complex and risky scenario:

• If the license is revoked — construction becomes impossible.

• If MERCAN lacks the funds to honor the buyback — investors could face significant losses.

• If the property is legally compromised — SEF could deny future renewals or revoke existing golden visas.

:question: Has anyone faced a similar situation in Portugal?

:question: Are there any successful cases of transferring investment to another project after a project was canceled or a developer went bankrupt?

:question: How does SEF usually respond to these cases? Does the developer’s fault play any role in SEF’s evaluation of the visa status?

:question: If the investment was legally made but the project was annulled — could SEF be forced to recognize the investment through legal action?

Any thoughts, insights, or personal experiences would be highly appreciated!

Why don’t you just ask Mercan?

They are stonewalling, refusing to answer these types of questions. They are offering vague reassurances of “it will all work out, just takes time, the municipality will approve it sometime”. Each development project is individually held, not part of Mercan. That means if it fails, there is not any recourse to the main company.

Where are you getting this information in the first place? Where are the “reports?”

You might want to review this thread.

I am not sure there is anything anyone here can do or tell you, as your issue is solely with Mercan. When you signed on to them, this was always a risk that came with it.

I don’t know that you need to transfer your investment. Technically your investment is still intact, even if the value has gone to $1 it should not impact your GV. Mercan also offers a buyback, if they will honor that.

In the end, you are probably overthinking the situation. Mercan is a large company and may make it right in the end.

Sharing notes from a recent in-person meeting at the Mercan Lisbon office. Posting facts as relayed by the sales representative — no opinions added. Others can interpret.

My situation (context):

  • GV application submitted via IAS in late 2022
  • Mercan 280K hotel investment — Lagos Marina
  • Biometrics scheduled in Cascais
  • Spouse and child as dependents (no biometrics scheduled for them)

What Mercan said about Lagos Marina:

  • Construction is reportedly at 45% completion
  • Sales rep stated the project is “on track” and progressing
  • I was shown a status update during the meeting

What Mercan said about the broader GV process:

  • They claim AIMA is aggressively clearing the backlog
  • Sales rep stated that more recent applicants (mid-2025) are now getting biometrics scheduled
  • They acknowledged that those of us who applied in late 2022 “applied in a bad time”

What Mercan said about the new Nationality Law:

  • Sales rep openly acknowledged the impact on existing investors
  • She expressed personal helplessness about the situation
  • Mercan is reportedly funding an EY (Ernst & Young) study intended to demonstrate the economic impact and job creation tied to GV investments, to be used in lobbying
  • Their position is that they’re trying to push back against “killing the golden goose”

What Mercan said about ongoing demand:

  • Sales rep claimed they continue to receive a steady stream of new investors
  • From a sales perspective, they still position the GV as the path to citizenship “with the least requirements”

Buyback question (unanswered):

  • I asked about the buyback process and timing
  • Sales rep said she could not speak to technicalities and referred me to the legal/contract team
  • I was not given specifics on whether buyback rights are tied to active GV status, renewal, or completion of citizenship process

What was NOT provided:

  • Financial reports for the Lagos Marina SPV
  • Documentation of the parent company’s financial position
  • Written confirmation of construction timeline for completion
  • Specific buyback trigger conditions in writing

Posting this for transparency so others in similar situations have data points. Will update after I speak with my lawyer about buyback specifics.

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