I personally think Portugal will not move the citizenship pole further down, from the current 10 years. The matter is the starting pole - if Portugal continues to neglect its own delays, and keep moving the starting pole, essentially it is also moving the finishing pole, be it PR or citizenship.
The current move by Portugal to ignore the investors’ waiting time and money locked-in time wasted, already cut down the country’s credibility not just in the field of immigration, but also in investment world.
Imagine Portugal keep the passed law as is, do not count the sunk-in waiting time to get 1st residence card to the 5 year ‘investment time’, future investors will NOT choose Portugal to park their money - what is there to choose for? Endless waiting, a quite small economy, a language spoken by very small population worldwide, and the country apparently already under housing / health care pressure by in-flooding immigrants by D2 /D7 visa etc..And look around in EU, Italy and Spain can be just equivalent options, and more arts to enjoy in Italy, closer connections to other low cost countries such as Greece, Turkey or eastern Europe. Spain is no less attractive - Spanish language widely spoken in many nice weather countries worldwide appealing for retirement and vacation, and apparently the country’s affairs are run in far far more efficient than Portugal.
If Portugal state is run by politicians with clear heads about where the growth of its economy is originated, and how to keep the momentum going in this de-globalization era, I doubt they will further kill their own economy engines beyond what they have self inflicted so far. However, we never know what politician will do when they are too eager to please the mass - that is written clearly in the European history in the past 80 years.
I think for someone having invested for 2+ years and have got biometrics appointment done, the current focus can be ‘pushing intermediaries to act as investors’ advocates to keep the starting pole stay at the ‘funded date / online submission date’. This way, we get our counting finishing line for PR moved up and get funds unlocked sooner to really invest for other meaningful ROI, and we can get citizenship finishing line moved up too, , if PT citizenship still desired in 10 years.
If Portugal keep on their current track, neglecting the time wasted in waiting (the state has to publish detailed execution rules for the law passed in May 2026 within 90 days - that will be by late Aug 2026) every investor with funds locked up for 3+ years already indeed should calculate their sunk cost vs. future opportunity cost to decide if ‘call it a day, and pursue compensation’ is the most sensible way to be done with this GV fiasco. For me, THAT Portugal will no longer be a country that I will proudly and even wish to call myself a citizen of.