Conceptually this type of project is very appealing - The idea of getting a buyback after 5 years is brilliant. Even so, I have not been able to wrap my head around it.
I don’t really see how they are giving 5-10% annual income projections on an incomplete project. Maybe implied interest? But they can get probably get a bank loan at a lower rate. During construction they have no income and with COVID it will struggle for another year. I can’t imagine it makes sense for them to divert their own capital to pay interest to investors on this project. Admittedly I haven’t really studied this in detail so perhaps I am missing an important detail.
I think you are onto something with the tax benefits. However, if the yields end up being only 1-2% a year, then it may be more trouble than it is worth. And with all the expenses you mentioned, you are more likely to have losses than gains. And we know how the IRS likes to treat recurring, passive real estate losses… not so great. Now, if you only mean that you are going to take one capital gains loss at the end of 5 years, then that might work just great.
One other point…who is paying the IMT and registration fees on the real estate when it is resold to Mercan? Is the investor getting tagged with this on both ends?
Smaller hotels in prime locations are going to recover more quickly from COVID. For a large convention hotel, I personally would run like hell.