What's the potential impact of the 2025 Portuguese election on the Golden Visa program and pathway to citizenship?

I do that to call it out as bull. As Jack and I have both noted, IMI Daily is the spiritual home of GV promoters… it’s important for those of us who’ve experienced the reality of the PT GV to provide, well, a reality check.

Speaking of GV promoter bull, this from Suncap Visa in my inbox yesterday:

We believe that the arguments presented in favour of grandfathering existing applicants are strong and have a good chance of success. This means that those who apply for residency (including GV, D7, D8) between now and when the law in its final shape passes have a very good chance of benefiting from the current rules (5 years to citizenship, counted from the date of application).

Reality check: “chance of success” is probably more like 40% at best - so not zero, but certainly not “very good.” The Government will fight hard and perhaps dirty to not grandfather hundreds of thousands of MI/CPLP/D*/GV/etc., otherwise their changes will have little near-term effect (all that politicians care about). But the PT GV industry needs this false hope to survive and keep all those “Plan B” recruits coming in.

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