What's the potential impact of the 2025 Portuguese election on the Golden Visa program and pathway to citizenship?

[PTbound (A L)]

Two different PT lawyers, two different opinions. So we will be at the whim of capricious “Portuguese Judge Lotto” again…

Bolding is mine:

@goncalomendesleal

Just as in past legislative reforms, we expect any change to include transitional provisions. In practice, this means that investors who have already initiated their Golden Visa application—i.e., submitted their process—should not be affected. Although the residency permit and citizenship processes are legally distinct, it is our firm belief that the rationale adopted by the Portuguese government will continue to recognize and protect the expectations upon which these investments were made.

@Margarida.Torres

Therefore, if only the nationality law is changed, it will not affect nationality applications that have already been submitted and are pending analysis, and will only apply to future nationality applications. I do not consider it obvious that a [GV] residence application pending analysis will be protected in the event of a change in the nationality law. I believe it is fair and legally defensible that these are legitimate expectations of people who applied for residency for this purpose, but I have doubts that if the law were to be changed there would be any provision for protection in this regard. I believe it is defensible, but it may be necessary to resort to the courts and then it will be analyzed on a case-by-case basis.