What's the potential impact of the 2025 Portuguese election on the Golden Visa program and pathway to citizenship?

It seems to me that the intent is clear, to restrict family reunification to actual dependent family members who lived with the applicant, and not brothers, uncles, grandparents, nephews, etc who barely know the applicant. This is necessary to prevent claiming distant dependents who, in fact, has little if any relationship with the applicant.

As for Golden visa, I am not sure this applies at all to family members that have already obtained residence card as they have already reunified. It only applies to new applicants and even then I think it has to be interpreted to mean that ARI are entitled to family reunification as long as the family members were present at the time of biometrics. Already the ARI applicant has to prove that family members are dependent. Maybe not, but we will see.

I can’t make any opinion whether it is constitutional. I defer to Lifedreamer for such an opinion.

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Regarding AIMA by the way, PSD added an amendment on 16 July with a new Article 87-B which relieves AIMA from any consequences of their actions or omissions in the court of law:

“In the decision to be adopted in the summons procedure, in the event of a failure of action by AIMA… the judge must consider, if required, the number of administrative procedures being carried out by that organisation, in the face of eventual abnormal pressures of requests and applications, the means of
human, administrative and financial resources available that can reasonably be expected, as well as taking into account the consequences that may result from the summons to the fair treatment of all requests addressed to AIMA.”

:expressionless_face:

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Wonder what impact that will have on future lawsuits, because it sounds like a tacit admission that AIMA is horrible at its job.

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Not tacit, explicit.

Lawsuits are now useless I imagine, more than they were

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The phrase “and who are here” in 98(2) does seem disturbing. In my case (applied 2021, still waiting for final approval, living outside PT) it suggests that while I may get my card this year, my wife would have to wait for another 2 years, unless we moved to PT. Or does it just mean she has to present herself in the country to apply for her card?

So they are explicitly saying that they do not want some ARI applicants to ‘jump the queue’ as a result of a summons/lawsuit;
Everyone must suffer equally…

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It wasn’t just ARI applicants suing last year… everybody got into the act, including thousands of MIs. It became quite an industry for the PT legal profession for a while.

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Following article is:

  • poor at describing what exactly got parliamentary approval (lots of proposed changes are still under discussion!!)
  • good at describing the “rush job” this legislation has been, and what the various parties think of it

https://www.portugalresident.com/changes-to-law-regulating-foreigners-gets-parliamentary-approval-in-spite-of-critics/

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what do we think the odds are for grandfathering current residence permit holders under the existing 5-year naturalization rule? 5%?

The dependency here just means they need to be with the main applicant, it is merely a symbolic requirement that would always be taken for granted in the absence of factors such as having study, work or business ties elsewhere in Portugal or having previous stay in Portugal or elsewhere in Schengen area that is inconsistent with the switch to family reunification. You will have to wait for regulations to know for sure but this is my expectation that you will not have to prove or provide documentation for this.

They will have to apply for a type D visa in advance and be admitted into Portugal before applying for the residence permit

Family reunification is for when you are already a legal resident, not when you are applying the first time. The rules are now slightly different in each case, one important detail the dependency part is reexamined on renewal because ARI is a temporary permit so it is not always guaranteed that family members included in the initial permit will continue to benefit from residency going forward.

No waiting 2 years. You may be able to include her during biometrics if you have a good lawyer that could convince AIMA given such a long waiting stretch that inevitably leads to change in personal circumstances.

But if you’re thinking of the worst possible scenario then yes, you will have to travel to Portugal and take up a lease, at least on paper, and then she will apply.

As a golden visa holder you are not required to live in Portugal but if you are applying for family reunification then that permit, with the new rules, can only be granted on the basis of you living in Portugal and that family member needing to join you there.

Portugal Tightens Immigration Laws With Landmark Reform

https://www.infowars.com/posts/portugal-tightens-immigration-laws-with-landmark-reform

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Not sure I’m a fan of linking out to Info Wars of all places. Especially when the article in question doesn’t even bring any new information.

Too bad the Onion wasn’t able to acquire it.

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On the bright side, at least it was chock full of factual errors and half-truths.

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Does anyone have a summary of statistics on the delays/wait time for ARI, specifically the wait time between the initial application date and the issuance date of the first card.
Any aggregated data points y’all may have please can you share with me, thanks!

Not sure if this answers your question, but the IMI daily recently published an article of the average processing times of various GV programs. No surprise that Portugal is leading in delays with an average of 39.6 months to process a golden visa.

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That’s great, thanks!
They refer to a Nomadgate database as the source, can someone verify if this is accurate numbers if you have access?

This was posted a little while ago by Sara Sousa Rebolo of Prime Legal, reporting on a meeting held between lobby group PAIIR and AIMA representatives on Friday:

First of all, please note that this meeting with AIMA was held by PAIIR but with input from several of its members and fellow lawyers with whom we have been working together to ensure that the applicants’ interests and concerns are heard and safeguarded – not only before AIMA but also before the political parties.
The meeting was quite long and focused not only on the current backlog situation but also on several questions of legal interpretation of the current law (technical details that I’m skipping here).

It was attended by:
• The Coordinator of AIMA Golden Visa Unit
• The Director of the Department of Administrative Procedures and Quality
• the Director of the Legal Competence Center for Migrations).

The main points we would like to share are the following:
• A new platform for Golden Visa applications has already been adjudicated, which will allow for a faster and fully online processing of the entire procedure, including payments, and will enable biometric data to be collected only after final and formal approval. It is expected to be launched by January 2026 and will apply only to new cases.
• Due to IT constraints, the information and cases in the current platforms in principle will not migrate, so ongoing cases will continue to be processed through the existing channels also to avoid the raising of more IT problems. There is a goal to grant appointments for all renewal backlogs by October 15th, and for all concession pending investors by the end of this year.
• Several efforts are indeed being made in the back office to overcome the pending cases, which, although not visible yet, have already led to significant efficiency gains that will soon have an “external” effect.
• As for the criteria for order of processing, they remain chronological according to the DUC payment date, except for cases with positive court decisions and some more recent cases used as “tests” for new internal AIMA procedures.
• Regarding court actions, currently most only benefit from a positive decision if the applicant demonstrates actual physical residence in Portugal. The number of cases filed in court was so high that AIMA is still processing court cases from 2024 only.
• Regarding re-submissions, the department is now waiting for the lists of re-submitted cases to be made available in order to proceed — in chronological order of re-submission — with the respective notifications for appointments. September is expected to finally be the turning point in the current situation. AIMA will take responsibility for the delay and will not request new criminal records from investors (unless internal checks reveal something requiring clarification). The AIMA GV team has already been reinforced and they are also hiring more legal staff.
• AIMA is making an effort to allocate the available slots between concession and renewal cases and to have uniformized interpretation on similar situations, through the request of official internal orientations.
• Currently the new GV renewal form only allows for investors, with family members being permitted in a second phase. Importantly, the appointment notifications will indicate whether the applicant must attend in person or may be represented by a lawyer. In any case, the documentation must always be presented, as well as compliance with the minimum stay requirement.
• Renewals of extinct investment options shall pay the normal fee and not the GV fee, although they still benefit from the 14 days minimum presence rule.
• In this regard, it is important to recall that under Portuguese law the right to family reunification is granted only to applicants who have been formally approved, and therefore this rule will tend to become more evident in the processing of family members’ applications.
• After the biometrics are taken and the file is complete, the case will be approved within 90 days.
• IT-related issues (e.g., DUC payments not updated on the platform, cases not reopened, etc.) must be grouped and sent by the legal representatives by email. It is essential that representatives only repeat requests at reasonable intervals (at least one month between follow-ups), otherwise this only contributes to an endless snowball effect.
• Those who already have proof of a submitted or scheduled case will not be subject to fines or “blacklisting” for staying in Portugal while awaiting the final decision.
• It was confirmed that Permanent Residence for Golden Visa does not require maintenance of the investment. As for the minimum stay requirement (0 days vs. 14 days), a formal guideline from AIMA on this topic will be issued shortly for clarification.
• AIMA is aware of some errors in the new platforms and is correcting them to the extent technically possible.
• The recent new platforms and forms released are very sensitive regarding the information entered. If it does not match 100% with the ARI portal, it is very likely to generate an error.

In light of the above, and although it may seem that “nothing seems to change,” there are in fact many measures being implemented, and their effects will start to be felt soon. We could see that the AIMA team is indeed fully committed and working with maximum dedication to resolving the issues, putting in extra hours to make progress as quickly as possible.

Since there are many internal steps that are not visible to us — those of us on this side of the process — it is important to understand that Portugal has many obligations to fulfil when issuing residence permits, and it is AIMA that is responsible for ensuring these are met, coordinating the reception and validation of information from various entities that are directly and indirectly involved in the process and that work with their on timings and priorities.

In this respect, it is essential that everyone collaborates in order not to block the normal functioning of the system — whether through court cases, incomplete applications with later submission of documents, or sending multiple emails on the same subjects. Human resources are limited, and each time one of these situations occurs, it means that staff must interrupt their “normal” functions and devote time to “exceptions.”

One final note, outside the scope of this meeting summary, regarding the recent amendments to the law:

  1. Although Parliament has approved amendments to the immigration law, the final wording will only be available after the President’s approval (and/or, eventually, a review by the Constitutional Court) and shall apply only to new cases. As such, let’s wait to see exactly what will be the final wording.
  2. Amendments to the Citizenship Law have not yet been decided — the Government has postponed the discussion until the end of September in order to hear stakeholders and thoroughly analyze the relevant information and data.
  3. The discussion on the Golden Visa legal framework has not yet begun. The Government announced it would take place after the summer, with the aim of improving and making the program more efficient.
  4. Much of what you see on social media and in marketing announcements is not entirely accurate, sufficiently detailed, or even applicable to your particular situation. Please save yourself the stress that comes from hearsay and check with your legal representatives — they will certainly be aware of the official and enforceable information and how it applies to your specific case.

Based on this, we would like to reiterate that AIMA considers 2025 a goal year and a time for “house cleaning.” So, let’s continue to exercise a little more patience and cooperate as much as we can. Rest assured that your lawyers want this resolved just as much as you do. Hopefully, by this Christmas, most of this instability and delays will already be behind us.

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Appreciate the update Chris. Do you understand what is meant by this: “In this regard, it is important to recall that under Portuguese law the right to family reunification is granted only to applicants who have been formally approved, and therefore this rule will tend to become more evident in the processing of family members’ applications.” ?